At least 15 million over the next 10 years if the AHCA passes. This analysis, from Brookings, estimates that, at a minimum, 6 million would lose coverage from the public exchange, 2 million from employer coverage and 7 million who are currently covered under Medicaid.
6 to 10 million people by 2024 if the AHCA passes. This assessment comes from Standard & Poors, with an estimate of 2 million to 4 million losing coverage from the exchange and 4 million to 6 million losing coverage under Medicaid.
24 million people by 2021 if Obamacare is repealed. The Robert Wood Johnson Foundation looked at the effects of a repeal last June. It predicted most of those who lost coverage would lose it because of the rescinding of the expansion of Medicaid. An estimated 8.8 million, per the foundation, would lose their private coverage.
18 million in the first year if a previous House bill were passed. That was the CBO’s assessment of the Restoring Americans’ Healthcare Freedom Reconciliation Act, which was vetoed by President Barack Obama at the beginning of last year. That bill differed from the AHCA, but it was introduced by Tom Price, then a member of the House and now secretary of health and human services.